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September weather will shape India's kharif crop yields, with paddy up 4%, but urad and cotton facing challenges.
The total area sown with crops during the current kharif season has increased to 1,092.33 lakh hectares (lh), according to the Agriculture Ministry. This is a 2.2% rise compared to the 1,069.29 lh sown last year.
Paddy, the main Kharif crop, has experienced a 4% rise in the sown area compared to last year. This growth is largely due to favorable rainfall, leading to better field conditions. Experts say that if September weather remains favorable, paddy yields could improve even further, boosting overall production.
On the other hand, crops like urad and cotton are facing difficulties this season. Urad has suffered due to uneven rainfall and poor soil conditions, causing lower growth. Similarly, cotton production has been impacted by low rainfall and high temperatures, which are crucial for its growth. Farmers are concerned that cotton yields may be lower than expected, or even negligible if the weather doesn't improve soon.
Heavy rains in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Gujarat have damaged some crops nearing harvest. Flooding in these areas has delayed crop assessments, but experts fear a reduction in yields despite the overall increase in sowing area.
The final output of India’s kharif crops will largely depend on the weather conditions in September. If the weather remains favorable, yields may improve. However, continued unfavorable conditions, such as floods or drought, could further reduce crop production.
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While paddy cultivation has expanded this year, crops like urad and cotton are struggling due to difficult weather conditions. The coming weeks of September will be crucial in determining the actual yield of India’s kharif crops.